OPEC as OPEC. OAPEC is devoted to developmental

OPEC is a permanent, intergovernmental organization
created at the Baghdad Conference on September 10-14, 1960. It was an outgrowth
of the 1st Arab Petroleum Congress in 1959 when the Oil Consultation
Commission, created by a few of the oil producing countries, signed what was
known as the Maadi Pact at the end of their meetings.

 

The organization is also a significant provider of
information about the international oil market.

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Other cartels are:

 

The
International Energy Agency (IEA) is one of the
larger organizations involved in the oil and gas industry. The IEA is the
energy forum for 26 industrialized countries. Formed by the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) as an autonomous intergovernmental
entity within the OECD in 1974 in direct response to the oil crisis, its
members include: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic,
Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary Ireland, Italy, Japan,
Republic of Korea, Luxembourg, The Netherlands New Zealand, Norway,
(participates under a special Agreement), Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland,
Turkey, United Kingdom, and the United States. One of the overall objectives of
the IEA, which reflects the original reason for the group’s establishment, is
to seek ways to reduce the members’ vulnerability to a supply disruption.

 

The
Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) was established in 1968 and is based in Kuwait.
Membership is limited to petroleum producing Arab countries. The three founding
members were Kuwait, Libya, and Saudi Arabia. The OAPEC is not a cartel in the
same sense as OPEC. OAPEC is devoted to developmental activities and increasing
the cooperation among its members.

 

 

 

 

MOTIVATION
FOR CHOOSING THE TOPIC

 

 

OPEC members strongly prefer to describe their
organization as a modest force for market stabilization, rather than a powerful
anti-competitive cartel. In its defense, the organization was founded as a
counterweight against the previous “Seven Sisters” cartel of
multinational oil companies, and non-OPEC energy suppliers have maintained
enough market share for a substantial degree of worldwide competition.
Moreover, because of an economic “prisoner’s dilemma” that encourages
each member nation individually to discount its price and exceed its production
quota, widespread cheating within OPEC often erodes its ability to influence
global oil prices through collective action.

 

 

 

 

ORIGIN
AND NATURE

 

In 1949, Venezuela and Iran took the earliest steps in
the direction of OPEC, by inviting Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia to improve
communication among petroleum-exporting nations as the world recovered from
World War II. At the time, some of the world’s largest oil fields were just
entering production in the Middle East. The United States had established the
Interstate Oil Compact Commission to join the Texas Railroad Commission in
limiting overproduction. The US was simultaneously the world’s largest producer
and consumer of oil; and the world market was dominated by a group of
multinational companies known as the “Seven Sisters”, five of which
were headquartered in the US following the breakup of John D. Rockefeller’s
original Standard Oil monopoly. Oil-exporting countries were eventually
motivated to form OPEC as a counterweight to this concentration of political
and economic power.

 

 

 

LITERATURE
REVIEW

 

OPEC is mainly Saudi Arabia, the dominant producer,
and some other sub-groups and Saudi alone acts like a dominant producer.
(Alhajji and Huettner, 2000)

 

Dermot Gatley (1984) conducted one of the early surveys
and grouped OPEC behavior modeling approaches into either a dominant
theoretical approach based on the wealth maximizing model or a simulation
approach based on the target capacity utilization model. (Dermot Gatley, 1984)

 

In 1998, Mabro surveyed and criticized the literature
on OPEC behavior for the period 1960-1998 and grouped it into six categories
including: history, previous literature surveys, economic modeling, political
economy, policy proposals, and trade journals reporting. (Mabro, 1998)

 

OPEC behaves more like an oligopoly with Saudi Arabia
as a price leader and largest producer. (Plaut, 1981)

 

OPEC can control the world oil market via restricting
supplies to increase prices and achieve certain revenues. (Tussing, 1989)

 

 

 

CURRENT
SITUATION (2010-2017)

 

By the time of the 2011 Libyan Civil War and Arab Spring,
OPEC started issuing explicit statements to counter “excessive
speculation” in oil futures markets, blaming financial speculators for
increasing volatility beyond market fundamentals.

 

On 10 September 2008, with oil prices still near
US$100/bbl, a production dispute occurred when the Saudis reportedly walked out
of a negotiating session where rival members voted to reduce OPEC output.
Although Saudi delegates officially endorsed the new quotas, they stated
anonymously that they would not observe them. The New York Times quoted one
such delegate as saying: “Saudi Arabia will meet the market’s demand. We
will see what the market requires and we will not leave a customer without oil.
The policy has not changed.” Over the next few months, oil prices plummeted
into the $30s, and did not return to $100 until the Libyan Civil War in 2011

 

During 2014–2015, OPEC members consistently exceeded
their production ceiling, and China experienced a slowdown in economic growth.
At the same time, US oil production nearly doubled from 2008 levels and
approached the world-leading “swing producer” volumes of Saudi Arabia
and Russia, due to the substantial long-term improvement and spread of shale
“fracking” technology in response to the years of record oil prices.
These developments led in turn to a plunge in US oil import requirements
(moving closer to energy independence), a record volume of worldwide oil
inventories, and a collapse in oil prices that continued into early 2016.

 

In December 2017, Russia and OPEC agreed to extend the
production cut of 1.8million barrels/day until the end of 2018

 

LESSONS
LEARNT

 

The term cartel, can be defined as “a group of
parties, factions, or nations united in a common cause; a bloc” as well as
“a combination of independent business organizations formed to regulate
production, pricing, and marketing of goods by the members.”

 

History shows many examples of successful and not so
successful cartels – they have been around for hundreds of years. The steel
industry and diamond industries are some examples. However, one of the most
powerful modern cartels is the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries more commonly referred to as OPEC.

 

Prior to the rise of OPEC, the oil industry was
dominated by the large oil companies often known as the Seven Sisters that
possessed the technology and skills for exploration and production that the
countries lacked. OPEC was born, to some extent, to reduce the influence the
oil multinationals. As Skeet suggests in his book, “The governments of the
oil producing countries in varying degree, but in all cases with increasing
fervor, viewed the systems under which the companies operated as an outdated
example of imperialist domination.” In fact, one of the first things
written in the 1st OPEC Conference Resolution in Baghdad states, “Members
can no longer remain indifferent to the attitude heretofore adopted by the Oil
Companies in effecting price modifications.”

 

 

RECOMMENDATIONS

 

With oil prices rallying above $60 per barrel, Russia has
questioned the wisdom of extending existing cuts of 1.8 million barrels per day
(bpd) until the end of next year as such a move could prompt a spike in U.S.
production.

 

Russia needs much lower oil prices to balance its budget
than OPEC’s leader Saudi Arabia, which is preparing a stock market listing for
national energy champion Aramco next year and would hence benefit from pricier
crude.

 

Six ministers from OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers including
Saudi Arabia and Russia met in Vienna on Wednesday – one day ahead of a full
OPEC gathering – and recommended extending the cuts to the end of 2018. At
present, the cuts expire in March. Several sources familiar with the talks have
said Russia had suggested an option of reviewing the deal at the next OPEC
meeting in June in case the oil market overheats.

 

Some Russian producers including Rosneft, run by an ally of
President Vladimir Putin, Igor Sechin, have questioned the rationale of
prolonging the cuts, saying it will lead to a loss of market share to U.S.
firms, which are not reducing output.

 

OPEC, which comprises 14 countries, has traditionally been
much less worried about exit strategies as its members have been known for
reducing compliance and cheating on their quotas towards the expiry of such
deals.

 

“Russia seems to be pushing OPEC to have a concrete plan to
phase out the cuts when appropriate … compared to the typical undisciplined
OPEC strategy,” U.S. bank Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co, which is active in
the shale industry, said.

 

BIBLIOGRAPHY

 “Top
100 Most Influential People in the Shipping Industry: 3. OPEC and the oil
men”. Lloyd’s List. 12 December 2014.

·     
“Our Mission”. OPEC. Retrieved 16 February 2013.

 “General
Information” (PDF). OPEC.
May 2012.
Retrieved 13 April 2014.

·     
Gülen, S. Gürcan (1996). “Is OPEC a Cartel? Evidence from Cointegration and
Causality Tests” (PDF). The Energy Journal. 17 (2): 43–57. doi:10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol17-no2-3. Archived from the original on 16 September
2000.

·     
Browning, Edgar K.; Zupan,
Mark A. (2004). “The Prisoner’s Dilemma and Cheating by Cartel
Members”. Microeconomics: Theory &
Applications (8th ed.). Wiley. pp. 394–396. ISBN 978-0471678717. Retrieved 5 September 2016.

·     
Colgan, Jeff (16 June 2014). “OPEC, the Phantom Menace”. Washington Post. Retrieved 9 November 2016.

·     
Gately, D. (1984) “A Ten Year Retrospective: OPEC and
the World Oil Market.” Journal of
Economic Literature, 22(3): 1110-1114.

·     
The American Heritage Dictionary of the English
Language, 5th ed.,

·     
https://ahdictionary.com/word/search.html?q=cartel
External Link

·     
Skeet, Ian. OPEC: Twenty Five Years of Prices and
Politics. (Cambridge: New York: Cambridge University Press, 1988), p. 5.

 

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